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Yes, I’m A Hawk March 21, 2012

Posted by Fritz in Yachts and other things that float.
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I am very disturbed by the division over striking Iran’s nuclear facilities now. I have to believe Obama is playing politics with our nation’s safety. Just another reason to get rid of him.

When Iran creates a nuclear weapon, and they will if they are not stopped, the world will change in the blink of an eye. When they use it, and they will, the nuclear genie will be out of the bottle. The world’s fears, real and perceived will sweep around the globe like the nuclear fallout carried in the prevailing winds. There will be accusations from both the hawks and the doves on who’s responsible. The hawks will say we should have bombed the sob’s early on, the doves will say we didn’t ‘engage’ enough politically. The reality is Tel Aviv, or another Jewish city will be nuked and the Israeli’s will unleash a holy terror that will have us clinging to our children as we watch the Mideast turn into glass live on the news.

Rewind the tape to July, 2012. Israel mount’s a massive conventional attack on Iran’s nuclear sites. To insure success, Iran’s air defense systems are destroyed prior to the bombers arriving.  Iran retaliates by mining the Strait of Hormuz. They manage to lay a modicum of mines but make the big mistake of firing on one of our warship’s. If they do hit us and kill American’s we should go berserk. Two carrier task forces are in the area. We will lay waste to their navy which consists of 3 destroyers, 5 frigates, 3 corvettes and 25 submarines. The destroyers are over 50 years old and essentially mothballed. The frigates are over 25 years old but they have updated Chinese made anti-ship missiles. The corvettes are over 30 years old but similarly armed—one is in the Caspian Sea. Only three of the subs are attack type. The rest are mini’s.  We could have the entire Iran Navy sunk in 48 hours.

Iran’s air force, consisting of 500 total aircraft, features about 230 attack aircraft made up of aging American F-4’s, F-5’s and F-14’s, Russian Mig-29’s and French Mirage F1’s. Wikipedia says less than half of the F-14’s are in service. Chances are Iran can fly, at best, two-thirds of what they have. The Israeli’s fly F-15’s and F-16s. They have over 400 attack aircraft and virtually all are air ready. Couple that with superior weaponry, avionics and training and the Israeli’s will own the sky.

This attack should not just destroy Iran’s capability to make a nuke. This attack should eviscerate its air force and navy. Iran’s army is reported at 100,000. Wikipedia reports that only about 5,000 are the highly trained, elite fighters known as the Quds force. The rest are made up of the Revolutionary Guard and paramilitary volunteer groups in decentralized corps spread throughout the country. Israel’s air force and army could handle anything Iran might be so foolish to attempt on the ground.

Yes we risk the chance of American’s dying in an attack on Iran. We have lost over 6000 in the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. Short of a lucky hit, we might not lose more than a dozen Americans. While tragic, it’s far less tragic than losing 10’s of thousands when Iran pops a nuke. Russia and China will scream like hell but they will not enter the fray militarily and with some luck internal opposition forces in Iran, supported by the West, will overthrow the Mullahs and bring the country into the 21st century

Stop the hand wringing and let’s get this over.

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